Will Scarcity Lead To Anarchy In China?

Via Foreign Policy In Focus, some commentary on how the steady track towards stability and prosperity that China and most developing countries seem to be on is driven by a new form of self-reliance: Renowned American journalist Robert D. Kaplan warned the West that, in the light of the quick deterioration of the arable land quality […]

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Foreign Ownership Ban Scuttles Australia’s Biggest Land Sale

Courtesy of the New York Times, a report on a prohibited land sale in Australia: A government ban on foreign investors buying a pioneering dynasty’s collection of cattle ranches has scuttled Australia’s biggest land sale, an official said on Friday. The government announced on Thursday it had barred foreigners from buying S. Kidman & Co. […]

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TIAA-CREF, U.S. Investment Giant, Accused Of Land Grabs In Brazil

Courtesy of the New York Times, an article on TIAA-CREF’s forays into the Brazilian agriculture: As an American investment giant that manages the retirement savings of millions of university administrators, public school teachers and others, TIAA-CREF prides itself on upholding socially responsible values, even celebrating its role in drafting United Nations principles for buying farmland that promote transparency, environmental […]

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Saudi Wells Running Dry — of Water — Spell End of Desert Wheat

Via Bloomberg, a report on Saudi Arabia’s plans to import all the wheat needed for 2016 consumption beacause aquifers used to irrigate crops are depleting rapidly: Cultured farms in sit in Saudi Arabia. For decades, only a few features punctuated the vastness of the Saudi desert: oil wells, oases — and wheat fields. Despite torrid weather […]

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The Myth of the African Land Grab

Via Foreign Policy, an interesting commentary on foreign investment in African farmland: Over the past few years, the media has breathlessly chronicled anAfrican land rush of mind-boggling scale and audacity. Highlights have included the handover of over 300,000 hectares of Ethiopia to a singleIndian company and a notorious incident in which Madagascar announced the transfer of nearly half […]

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Land “Grabbing” Grows As Agricultural Resources Dwindle

Via the Worldwatch Institute, a new report on the increasing tendency – as global agricultural resources shrink or shift – for countries to cross borders to obtain new farmlands: Since 2000, more than 36 million hectares—an area about the size of Japan—has been purchased or leased by foreign entities, mostly for agricultural use. Today, nearly 15 […]

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About This Blog And Its Author
Seeds Of A Revolution is committed to defining the disruptive geopolitics of the global Farms Race.  Due to the convergence of a growing world population, increased water scarcity, and a decrease in arable land & nutrient-rich soil, a spike of international investment interest in agricultural is inevitable and apt to bring a heretofore domestic industry into a truly global realm.  Whether this transition involves global land leases or acquisitions, the fundamental need for food & the protectionist feelings this need can give rise to is highly likely to cause such transactions to move quickly into the geopolitical realm.  It is this disruptive change, and the potential for a global farms race, that Seeds Of A Revolution tracks, analyzes, and forecasts.

Educated at Yale University (Bachelor of Arts - History) and Harvard (Master in Public Policy - International Development), Monty Simus has long held a keen interest in natural resource policy and the geopolitical implications of anticipated stresses in the areas of freshwater scarcity, biodiversity reserves & parks, and farm land.  Monty has lived, worked, and traveled in more than forty countries spanning Africa, China, western Europe, the Middle East, South America, and Southeast & Central Asia, and his personal interests comprise economic development, policy, investment, technology, natural resources, and the environment, with a particular focus on globalization’s impact upon these subject areas.  Monty writes about freshwater scarcity issues at www.waterpolitics.com and frontier investment markets at www.wildcatsandblacksheep.com.